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Risks of watchful waiting in follicular lymphoma


 

follicular lymphoma

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A subset of follicular lymphoma (FL) patients managed with watchful waiting are vulnerable to organ dysfunction and transformation, according to research published in Clinical Lymphoma, Myeloma & Leukemia.

In a retrospective study, about 24% of FL patients managed with watchful waiting developed significant organ dysfunction or transformation at first progression over 8.2 years of follow-up.

Organ dysfunction and transformation were associated with significantly worse overall survival (OS) that could not be predicted based on baseline characteristics.

Gwynivere A. Davies, MD, of the University of Calgary in Alberta, Canada, and her colleagues conducted this study using data from the Alberta Lymphoma Database. The team gathered data on patients with grade 1-3a FL who were diagnosed between 1994 and 2011.

The investigators identified 238 patients who were initially managed with watchful waiting. The patients had a median age of 54.1 years (range, 24.7-69.9) at diagnosis, and 83.2% were advanced stage.

The 10-year OS rate for these patients was 81.2%. At a median follow-up of 98.5 months, 71% (n=169) of patients had progressed and required therapy.

At the time of progression, 24.4% of patients (n=58) had organ dysfunction and/or transformation. The median time to organ dysfunction/transformation was 29.9 months.

These adverse outcomes were significantly associated with inferior OS. The 10-year OS rate was 65.4% for patients with transformation at progression and 83.2% for those without transformation (P=0.0017).

The 10-year OS rate was 71.5% for those with organ dysfunction at progression and 82.7% for those without organ dysfunction (P=0.028).

Comparison to treated patients

The investigators also looked at a comparison group of 236 FL patients managed with immediate rituximab-based chemotherapy (R-chemo), most of whom were scheduled to receive (72.9%) rituximab maintenance. Their median age was 52.1 (range, 27.3-65.4), and most (82.6%) had advanced stage disease.

At a median follow-up of 100.2 months, the median progression-free survival (PFS) was not reached. The 10-year OS rate was 84%.

The 10-year PFS rate after first R-chemo was 57.1% for patients who received immediate R-chemo (n=236) and 50.5% for patients who were initially managed with watchful waiting and proceeded to R-chemo (n=133; P=0.506). This was not affected by rituximab maintenance.

The investigators noted that OS measured from diagnosis was not affected by initial watchful waiting.

However, in a landmark analysis, OS was inferior when measured from R-chemo at first progression for watchful waiting recipients compared to patients who received immediate R-chemo. The 10-year OS rates were 74.4% and 84.0%, respectively (P=0.02).

The risk of transformation at first progression was significantly different between the groups. At 10 years, the rate of transformation was 25.5% in the watchful waiting group and 6.3% in the immediate R-chemo group (P<0.0001).

The investigators said these findings, taken together, suggest changes may be warranted for FL patients managed with watchful waiting.

“Consideration should be given to implementing standardized follow-up imaging, with early initiation of rituximab-based therapy if there is evidence of progression in an attempt to prevent these potentially clinically impactful events [i.e., organ dysfunction and transformation],” Dr. Davies and her coauthors wrote.

Dr. Davies reported no financial disclosures. Her coauthors reported disclosures related to Janssen, Gilead Sciences, Lundbeck, Roche, AbbVie, Amgen, Seattle Genetics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Servier Laboratories, and Merck.

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