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Ukraine war likely to cause infection outbreaks that will spread beyond borders


 

Waterborne infections

Another concern involves waterborne infections. In addition to the common diarrheal diseases such as E coli, which can be expected from poor sanitation, polio is a significant concern. In the fall of 2021, Ukraine had an outbreak of vaccine-derived polio, with two cases of paralysis and 20 additional cases. As polio only paralyzes 1 person in 200 of those infected, many other cases were likely undetected. A vaccination campaign was just beginning when the war began.

Wound infections and antimicrobial resistance

The ECDC also reports high rates of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in Ukraine, particularly involving common gram-negative bacteria, including Escherichia coli (53% resistance to third-generation cephalosporins), Klebsiella pneumoniae (54% resistance to carbapenems), and Acinetobacter spp. (77% resistance to carbapenems). Because of this, they recommend refugees requiring hospital admission be isolated on admission and screened for AMR. These AMR often complicate traumatic injuries of war.

Prevention

Many of these potential problems stemming from the war in Ukraine and the displacement of millions of its citizens can be avoided.

Attempts are being made to immunize refugees. WHO has made working with countries receiving refugees a priority, particularly by vaccinating children against measles, rubella, and COVID. The European Union has also purchased vaccines for polio and tuberculosis.

But Russia has waged an active anti-vaccine campaign against COVID in Ukraine, while at the same time advocating for vaccines in Russia. According to UNICEF, other countries with relatively low vaccination rates and high vaccine skepticism – Moldova, Romania, and Bulgaria – are at higher risk of polio and measles than those with high vaccination levels.

The continuing war in Ukraine has exacerbated the medical challenges the citizens of Ukraine face at home and as refugees fleeing to neighboring countries. Improving communication among agencies and governments and building trust with the refugees could go a long way toward limiting the spread of preventable infectious diseases as a result of the war.

Continuing to try to keep supply chains open within Ukraine and ensuring adequate supplies of medications and vaccines to refugees will also be essential. But, of course, the better solution is to end the war.

Dr. Altice, Dr. Potter, Dr. Wingfield, Dr. Vermund, and Dr. Zinchuk all report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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