Study Overview
Objective. To examine the trend of noninvasive and invasive mechanical ventilation at the end of life from 2000 to 2017.
Design. Observational population-based cohort study.
Setting and participants. The study was a population-based cohort study to examine the use of noninvasive and invasive mechanical ventilation among decedents. The study included a random 20% sample of Medicare beneficiaries older than 65 years who were hospitalized in the last 30 days of life and died between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2017, except for the period October 1, 2015, to December 31, 2015, when the transition from International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) to ICD-10 occurred. Beneficiaries with the primary admitting diagnosis of cardiac arrest or with preexisting tracheostomy were excluded because of expected requirements for ventilatory support. The sample included a total of 2,470,735 Medicare beneficiaries; mean age was 82.2 years, and 54.8% were female. Primary admitting diagnosis codes were used to identify 3 subcohorts: congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cancer; a fourth subcohort of dementia was identified using the primary admitting diagnosis code or the first 9 secondary diagnosis codes.
Main outcome measures. The study used procedure codes to identify the use of noninvasive ventilation, invasive mechanical ventilation, or none among decedents who were hospitalized in the last 30 days of life. Descriptive statistics to characterize variables by year of hospitalization and ventilatory support were calculated, and the rates of noninvasive and invasive mechanical ventilation use were tabulated. Other outcomes of interest include site of death (in-hospital death), hospice enrollment at death, and hospice enrollment in the last 3 days of life as measures of end-of- life care use. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to examine noninvasive and invasive mechanical ventilation use among decedents, and time trends were examined, with the pattern of use in year 2000 as reference. Subgroup analysis with the subcohort of patients with different diagnoses were conducted to examine trends.
Main results. From 2000 to 2017, 16.3% of decedents had invasive mechanical ventilation, 3.7% had noninvasive ventilation, and 1.0% had both noninvasive and invasive ventilation during their hospital stay. Compared to the reference year 2000, there was a 9-fold increase in noninvasive ventilation use, from 0.8% to 7.1% in 2017, and invasive mechanical ventilation use also increased slightly, from 15.0% to 18.5%. Compared to year 2000, decedents were 2.63 times and 1.04 times (adjusted odds ratio [OR]) more likely to receive noninvasive ventilation and invasive mechanical ventilation, respectively, in 2005, 7.87 times and 1.39 times more likely in 2011, and 11.84 times and 1.63 times more likely in 2017.
Subgroup analysis showed that for congestive heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, the increase in noninvasive ventilation use mirrored the trend observed for the overall population, but the use of invasive mechanical ventilation did not increase from 2000 to 2017, with a rate of use of 11.1% versus 7.8% (adjusted OR, 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.95-1.19) for congestive heart failure and 17.4% vs 13.2% (OR 1.03, 95% CI, 0.88-1.21) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. For the cancer and dementia subgroups, the increase in noninvasive ventilation use from 2000 to 2017 was accompanied by an increase in the use of invasive mechanical ventilation, with a rate of 6.2% versus 7.4% (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.26-1.55) for decedents with cancer and a rate of 5.7% versus 6.2% (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.17-1.41) for decedents with dementia. For other measures of end-of-life care, noninvasive ventilation use when compared to invasive mechanical ventilation use was associated with lower rates of in-hospital (acute care) deaths (50.3% vs 76.7%), hospice enrollment in the last 3 days of life (late hospice enrollment; 57.7% vs 63.0%), and higher rates of hospice enrollment at death (41.3% vs 20.0%).
Conclusion. There was an increase in the use of noninvasive ventilation from 2000 through 2017 among Medicare beneficiaries who died. The findings also suggest that the use of invasive mechanical ventilation did not increase among decedents with congestive heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease but increased among decedents with cancer and dementia.